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STICERD Econometrics Seminar Series

Generalized Bayes in Conditional Moment Restriction Models

Sid Kankanala (Chicago)

Thursday 12 November 2026 14:00 - 15:30


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About this event

This paper develops a generalized Bayes framework for conditional moment restriction models, where the parameter of interest is a nonparametric structural function of endogenous variables. We establish contraction rates for a class of Gaussian process priors and provide conditions under which a Bernstein-von Mises theorem holds for the quasi-Bayes posterior. Consequently, we show that optimally weighted quasi-Bayes credible sets achieve exact asymptotic frequentist coverage, extending classical results for parametric GMM models.