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IFS/STICERD/UCL Development Work in Progress Seminar

Public Service Access and Fiscal Capacity

Justine Knebelmann (Science Po and IFS), joint with Joseph Levine (Oxford), Abdoulaye Ndiaye (NYU Stern), Victor Pouliquen (Paris Dauphine - PSL)

Thursday 22 October 2026 14:30 - 15:30


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About this event

Cities in developing countries face growing demand for public services but raise too little tax revenue to fund them. Can local governments harness synergies between the two? We partner with The Gambia?s largest urban municipality to implement six randomized interventions targeting property taxation and trash collection, a service households can access by paying a user fee. At baseline, only 34% of households pay property taxes, while public trucks collect just 30% of waste. We develop a model of households? joint decisions to pay property taxes and service fees to guide our analysis. Strong enforcement through court summons sharply increases tax compliance, while comprehensive enforcement using GIS technology has smaller but meaningful effects. A tax cut has no effect. Improving access to trash collection and providing information about the tax-service link do not increase compliance. By contrast, a reciprocity intervention that reduces user fees conditional on tax payment raises compliance by a similar magnitude to comprehensive enforcement. Tying user fees to tax payments is thus a promising way to sustain a virtuous cycle.